Sunday, July 13, 2025

Sea Control vs. Sea Denial: Revisiting Regional Maritime Strategy Amidst Rising Incidents

WASHINGTON –  A recent collision between two vessels in the South China Sea has once again brought simmering tensions between the Philippines and China to the forefront. Both governments have issued conflicting statements, each accusing the other of responsibility. The incident, which occurred in contested waters, highlights the ongoing volatility in the region and the broader challenges associated with maritime jurisdiction, sovereignty, and operational safety.

Philippine officials have expressed grave concern, stating that the incident endangered civilians aboard a marine research vessel engaged in scientific work. They argue that the vessel was operating well within international norms and that the collision represents a breach of navigational safety, warranting greater international scrutiny—particularly regarding the treatment of non-military actors in disputed maritime zones.

In contrast, China has rejected the Philippines’ version of events, asserting that it was Manila’s vessel that acted recklessly. Chinese authorities maintain that their maritime operations in the area are consistent with their view of sovereign rights and suggest that such incidents result from what they describe as repeated provocations by the Philippines.

The collision fits into a broader trend of maritime confrontations in the South China Sea, a region of immense strategic and economic value. At the heart of the dispute are conflicting territorial claims, with China’s assertion of the “nine-dash line” clashing directly with the Philippines’ position, bolstered by the 2016 arbitral ruling in The Hague, which invalidated much of Beijing’s expansive claim. Despite repeated calls for dialogue, tensions remain high, and a durable framework for conflict resolution remains elusive.

South China Sea Disputes

The South China Sea is a vital international waterway through which an estimated $3 trillion in global trade passes annually. It is also rich in fisheries and is believed to hold significant oil and gas reserves. Several countries—including China, the Philippines, Vietnam, Malaysia, Brunei, and Taiwan—have overlapping claims in the area. China’s expansive claims are demarcated by the so-called “nine-dash line,” which covers most of the South China Sea and overlaps with the exclusive economic zones (EEZs) of several Southeast Asian nations.

Over the past decade, tensions have escalated as China has engaged in large-scale land reclamation and the militarization of artificial islands. These actions have drawn international criticism and fueled concerns over freedom of navigation, regional stability, and the potential for miscalculation or conflict.

UNCLOS

The United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS), adopted in 1982 and ratified by over 160 countries (including China and the Philippines), is the primary international treaty governing maritime rights and responsibilities. UNCLOS defines various maritime zones, including territorial seas, exclusive economic zones (EEZs), and the continental shelf. Within an EEZ, a coastal state has sovereign rights for the exploration and use of marine resources, but it must also allow freedom of navigation and overflight for other states.

In 2016, an arbitral tribunal constituted under UNCLOS ruled in favor of the Philippines in a case challenging China’s maritime claims. The tribunal ruled that China’s “nine-dash line had no legal basis and that several Chinese activities in the region infringed upon the Philippines’ sovereign rights. China rejected the ruling and has continued to assert its claims, creating ongoing friction with its neighbors and complicating efforts to establish a rules-based order in the region.

This latest episode highlights the pressing need for effective deconfliction protocols and sustained diplomatic engagement. It also reinforces the centrality of international law, particularly UNCLOS, as a cornerstone for managing disputes, protecting civilian maritime actors, and maintaining regional stability in one of the world’s most contested maritime theaters.

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